![]() ![]() The 2016 National Election Pool Exit Survey had Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton among white evangelicals by a staggering 79% to 16%. Among registered voters under 40 in the survey, 8% were white evangelicals compared to 19% among those over 40, pointing to a long-term problem for Republicans without a more diverse electoral coalition.Įmbedded throughout this discussion is an assumption that the majority of evangelicals will vote for Republicans, and this assumption is well supported in survey data. White evangelicals were less likely in the sample to report income over $150,000 and bachelor degree or higher education levels. ![]() Among registered voters in the Census Region South, 21% identify as white evangelicals compared to 13%, 14% and 8% in the West, Midwest and Northeast, respectively. The following numbers are based on the author’s analysis of a 2018 AP/NORC national survey. Beyond their total numbers, 64% of Evangelicals reported church attendance at least weekly compared to 35% of other Christians, suggesting a potential for a higher frequency of politically relevant messaging.Įvangelicals are demographically distinct on several politically relevant dimensions. The National Election Pool exit polls found 26% of voters self-identified as white evangelical Christians in 2016. ![]() This percentage is down very slightly from a prior study in 2007. Size, demographics and voting habits of white evangelicalsĪbout one in four American adults belongs to an evangelical Christian denomination according to a Pew Research Center 2014 study, making evangelicals the most common religious group just ahead of those without a religious affiliation. Combining a few considerations about the size, demographic makeup, and voting behaviors of white evangelical Christians with an analysis of voters in an important swing state helps clarify why this electoral group is essential for any Republican coalition during the 2020 race to the White House. As demographics in the United States continue to shift, election analysts must understand the scale of evangelicals’ role in the Republican coalition, especially in swing states. The result is that each of these groups votes en bloc in elections.Since Ronald Reagan’s 1980 victory over Jimmy Carter, Republican presidential candidates have benefitted from enthusiastic support of evangelical Christian voters, specifically white evangelicals. For example, Beliefnet identifies 12 main religious blocs in American politics, such as the " Religious Right", whose concerns are dominated by religious and sociocultural issues and American Jews, who are identified as a "strong Democratic group" with liberal views on economics and social issues. For more guidance, see Wikipedia:Translation.Ī voting bloc is a group of voters that are strongly motivated by a specific common concern or group of concerns to the point that such specific concerns tend to dominate their voting patterns, causing them to vote together in elections.You should also add the template to the talk page.A model attribution edit summary is Content in this edit is translated from the existing Japanese Wikipedia article at ] see its history for attribution. ![]() You must provide copyright attribution in the edit summary accompanying your translation by providing an interlanguage link to the source of your translation.If possible, verify the text with references provided in the foreign-language article. Do not translate text that appears unreliable or low-quality.Consider adding a topic to this template: there are already 3,485 articles in the main category, and specifying |topic= will aid in categorization.Machine translation, like DeepL or Google Translate, is a useful starting point for translations, but translators must revise errors as necessary and confirm that the translation is accurate, rather than simply copy-pasting machine-translated text into the English Wikipedia. ![]()
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